Publications

Lead-authored refereed papers

1. Marsh, P. T., and H. E. Brooks, 2012: Comments on “Tornado Risk Analysis: Is Dixie Alley an Extension of Tornado Alley?” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 405–407. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00200.1
2. Marsh, P. T., J. S. Kain, V. Lakshmanan, A. J. Clark, N. M. Hitchens, and J. Hardy, 2012: A method for calibrating deterministic forecasts of rare events. Weather and Forecasting, 27, 531–538. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-11-00074.1
3. Marsh, P. T., H. E. Brooks, and D. J. Karoly, 2009: Preliminary investigation into the severe thunderstorm environment of Europe simulated by the Community Climate System Model 3. Atmospheric Research, 93, 607–618. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2008.09.014
4. Marsh, P. T., H. E. Brooks, and D. J. Karoly, 2007: Assessment of the severe weather environment in North America simulated by a global climate model. Atmospheric Science Letters, 8, 100–106. doi:10.1002/asl.159

Coauthored refereed papers

1. Silcott, M. K., P. Burke, I. Jirak, P. T. Marsh, W. F. Bunting, B. C. Matilla, K. Knopfmeier, and J. Martin, 2026: Warn-on-Forecast System: Concept of Operations Demonstration with the Storm Prediction Center in the 2023-2024 Cool Season. Journal of Operational Meteorology, 14, 238–247. doi:10.15191/nwajom.2026.1415
2. Harrison, D. R., A. McGovern, C. D. Karstens, A. Bostrom, J. L. Demuth, I. L. Jirak, and P. T. Marsh, 2025: An Assessment of How Domain Experts Evaluate Machine Learning in Operational Meteorology. Weather and Forecasting, 40, 393–410. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-24-0144.1
3. Harrison, D. R., A. McGovern, C. D. Karstens, A. Bostrom, I. L. Jirak, and P. T. Marsh, 2025: Leveraging Coproduction to Bridge Research and Operations in Operational Meteorology. Weather and Forecasting, 40, 1085–1101. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-24-0145.1
4. Clark, A. J., I. L. Jirak, B. T. Gallo, K. H. Knopfmeier, B. Roberts, M. Krocak, J. Vancil, K. A. Hoogewind, N. A. Dahl, E. D. Loken, D. Jahn, D. Harrison, D. Imy, P. Burke, L. J. Wicker, P. Skinner, P. L. Heinselman, P. T. Marsh, K. A. Wilson, A. R. Dean, G. J. Creager, T. A. Jones, J. Gao, Y. Wang, M. Flora, C. K. Potvin, C. A. Kerr, N. Yussouf, J. Martin, J. Guerra, B. Matilla, and T. J. Galarneau, 2022: The Second Real-Time, Virtual Spring Forecasting Experiment to Advance Severe Weather Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, E1114–E1116. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0239.1
5. Harrison, D. R., M. S. Elliott, I. L. Jirak, and P. T. Marsh, 2022: Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast System to Produce Calibrated Probabilistic Thunderstorm Guidance. Weather and Forecasting, 37, 1103–1115. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-22-0001.1
6. May, R. M., K. H. Goebbert, J. E. Thielen, J. R. Leeman, M. D. Camron, Z. Bruick, E. C. Bruning, R. P. Manser, S. C. Arms, and P. T. Marsh, 2022: MetPy: A meteorological Python library for data analysis and visualization. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, E2273–E2284. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0125.1
7. Gensini, V. A., A. M. Haberlie, and P. T. Marsh, 2020: Practically perfect hindcasts of severe convective storms. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, E1259–E1278. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0321.1
8. Nauslar, N. J., J. T. Abatzoglou, and P. T. Marsh, 2018: The 2017 North Bay and Southern California Fires: A Case Study. Fire, 1, 18. doi:10.3390/fire1010018
9. Blumberg, W. G., K. T. Halbert, T. A. Supinie, P. T. Marsh, R. L. Thompson, and J. A. Hart, 2017: SHARPpy: An open source sounding analysis toolkit for the atmospheric sciences. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98, 1625–1636. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00309.1
10. Thompson, R. L., B. T. Smith, J. S. Grams, A. R. Dean, J. C. Picca, A. E. Cohen, E. M. Leitman, A. M. Gleason, and P. T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Weather and Forecasting, 32, 1509–1528. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-17-0004.1
11. Smith, B. T., R. L. Thompson, A. R. Dean, and P. T. Marsh, 2015: Diagnosing the conditional probability of tornado damage rating using environmental and radar attributes. Weather and Forecasting, 30, 914–932. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-14-00122.1
12. Brooks, H. E., G. W. Carbin, and P. T. Marsh, 2014: Increased variability of tornado occurrence in the United States. Science, 346, 349–352. doi:10.1126/science.1257460
13. Knupp, K., T. A. Murphy, T. A. Coleman, R. A. Wade, S. A. Mullins, C. J. Schultz, E. V. Schultz, L. Carey, A. Sherrer, E. W. McCaul Jr., B. Carcione, S. Latimer, A. Kula, K. Laws, P. T. Marsh, and K. Klockow, 2014: Meteorological overview of the devastating 27 April 2011 tornado outbreak. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95, 1041–1062. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00229.1
14. Clark, A. J., J. Gao, P. T. Marsh, T. Smith, J. S. Kain, J. Correia Jr., M. Xue, and F. Kong, 2013: Tornado pathlength forecasts from 2010 to 2011 using ensemble updraft helicity. Weather and Forecasting, 28, 387–407. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-12-00038.1
15. Coniglio, M. C., J. Correia Jr., P. T. Marsh, and F. Kong, 2013: Verification of convection-allowing WRF model forecasts of the planetary boundary layer using sounding observations. Weather and Forecasting, 28, 842–862. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-12-00103.1
16. Kain, J. S., M. C. Coniglio, J. Correia Jr., A. J. Clark, P. T. Marsh, C. L. Ziegler, V. Lakshmanan, S. D. Miller, S. R. Dembek, S. J. Weiss, F. Kong, M. Xue, R. A. Sobash, A. R. Dean, I. L. Jirak, and C. J. Melick, 2013: A feasibility study for probabilistic convection initiation forecasts based on explicit numerical guidance. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, 1213–1225. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00264.1
17. Thompson, R. L., B. T. Smith, A. R. Dean, and P. T. Marsh, 2013: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Electronic Journal of Severe Storms Meteorology, 8, 1–22. doi:10.55599/ejssm.v8i5.50
18. Clark, A. J., S. J. Weiss, J. S. Kain, I. L. Jirak, M. C. Coniglio, C. J. Melick, C. Siewert, R. A. Sobash, P. T. Marsh, A. R. Dean, and others, 2012: An overview of the 2010 hazardous weather testbed experimental forecast program spring experiment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 55–74. doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00040.1
19. Clark, A. J., J. S. Kain, P. T. Marsh, J. Correia Jr., M. Xue, and F. Kong, 2012: Forecasting tornado pathlengths using a three-dimensional object identification algorithm applied to convection-allowing forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 27, 1090–1113. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-11-00147.1
20. Purpura, J. K., S. Cobb, P. T. Marsh, and M. J. Hudson, 2012: The NWS and VORTEX2: Facilitating real-time communication between research and warning operations. Electronic Journal of Operational Meteorology, 13, 108–119. PDF
21. Brooks, H. E., P. T. Marsh, A. M. Kowaleski, P. Groenemeijer, T. E. Thompson, C. S. Schwartz, C. M. Shafer, A. Kolodziej, N. Dahl, and D. Buckey, 2011: Evaluation of European Storm Forecast Experiment (ESTOFEX) forecasts. Atmospheric Research, 100, 538–546. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2010.09.004

Submitted papers

1. Fellman, B. J., H. E. Brooks, J. T. Ripberger, and P. T. Marsh, 2026: The Calm Before the Storm, Part 1: Examining the Climatology and Potential Value of the Storm Prediction Center's Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook. Submitted to Weather and Forecasting.
2. Fellman, B. J., K. Diodosio, K. Peach, J. I. Christian, T. Grace, L. DeBoard, T. Godsey, S. Ernst, M. León-Corwin, J. Ripberger, H. Jenkins-Smith, H. E. Brooks, and P. T. Marsh, 2026: Heat Waves, Flash Droughts, Compound Events, Oh My! - Assessing Oklahoman Risk Perceptions to Heat Waves and Flash Droughts Through a Longitudinal Panel Survey. Submitted to Weather, Climate, and Society.

Refereed conference proceedings

1. Bass, E. J., B. Hogan, D. Rude, B. Philips, D. Westbrook, C. League, J. Brotzge, P. T. Marsh, R. Riley, and L. Lemon, 2011: A method for investigating real-time distributed weather forecaster-emergency manager interaction. 2011 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, 9–12 October 2011, Anchorage, AK, USA, 2809–2815. doi:10.1109/ICSMC.2011.6084098

Technical reports and assessments

1. Krocak, M. J., S. Ernst, J. Ripberger, C. Williams, J. Trujillo-Falcón, B. T. Gallo, and P. T. Marsh, 2021: The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center's Convective Outlook: Conclusions from Past Research and Recommendations for Future Development. Technical Report, National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center, 16 pp. Paper
2. Clark, A. J., J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, M. C. Coniglio, J. Correia Jr., I. L. Jirak, C. J. Melick, P. T. Marsh, C. Siewert, S. D. Miller, R. A. Sobash, and A. R. Dean, 2012: Spring Forecasting Experiment 2012 Conducted by the Experimental Forecast Program of the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed: Program Overview and Operations Plan. NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed, 18 pp. Archived copy
3. Kain, J. S., M. C. Coniglio, J. Correia Jr., A. J. Clark, P. T. Marsh, C. L. Ziegler, V. Lakshmanan, S. D. Miller, S. R. Dembek, S. J. Weiss, F. Kong, M. Xue, R. A. Sobash, A. R. Dean, I. L. Jirak, and C. J. Melick, 2012: Convective Initiation Component of the 2011 HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment: Preliminary Report. NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed, 33 pp. Archived copy
4. Weiss, S. J., J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, J. Correia Jr., I. L. Jirak, C. J. Melick, P. T. Marsh, A. J. Clark, C. Siewert, C. L. Ziegler, R. A. Sobash, A. R. Dean, T. L. Jensen, D. R. Novak, M. J. Bodner, and F. E. Barthold, 2011: NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Experimental Forecast Program Spring Experiment 2011: Program Overview and Operations Plan. NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed, 62 pp. Archived copy
5. Woodall, G., J. Mullikin, V. Brown, G. Carrasco, K. Harding, C. Hayes, J. Ladue, J. Levan, M. Ocana, K. Scharfenberg, C. Smallcomb, D. Sugerman, J. Trainor, D. B. Caldwell, D. C. Young, S. Romano, M. Magnus, P. T. Marsh, and W. Lerner, 2011: The historic tornadoes of April 2011. Service Assessment, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service. PDF
6. Weiss, S. J., P. T. Marsh, C. J. Melick, I. L. Jirak, A. J. Clark, C. Siewert, R. A. Sobash, A. R. Dean, J. S. Kain, G. W. Carbin, T. L. Jensen, J. A. Hart, J. J. Levit, C. B. Entwistle, D. R. Novak, M. J. Bodner, and F. E. Barthold, 2010: NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Experimental Forecast Program Spring Experiment 2010: Program Overview and Operations Plan. NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed, 64 pp. Archived copy

Conference papers and extended abstracts

1. Harrison, D. R., I. L. Jirak, and P. T. Marsh, 2026: A Climatology of the Conditional Probability of Significant Severe Hazards and Its Operational Implications. Extended Abstracts, 32nd Conference on Severe Local Storms, 2026 AMS Madison Summit, 3–7 August 2026, Madison, Wisconsin, USA, 12B.2. doi:10.25923/cckr-7v25
2. Jirak, I. L., M. E. Baldwin, T. A. Supinie, J. Picca, P. T. Marsh, R. L. Thompson, and R. S. Schneider, 2026: Assessment of Probabilistic Short-Term CAM Forecasts for Informing SPC Products in the Watch-to-Warning Timeframe. Extended Abstracts, 34th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, 2026 AMS Madison Summit, 3–7 August 2026, Madison, Wisconsin, USA, J9.2. Conference page
3. Halbert, K. T., N. A. Dahl, I. L. Jirak, and P. T. Marsh, 2024: Upgrades to the Storm Prediction Center Mesoanalysis: A Low-Latency, 3-km HRRR-Based Objective Mesoscale Analysis. Extended Abstracts, 31st Conference on Severe Local Storms, 21–25 October 2024, Virginia Beach, Virginia, USA, 17A.1, 11 pp. Paper
4. Harrison, D. R., I. L. Jirak, and P. T. Marsh, 2024: Developing and Evaluating First-Guess Watch Guidance within SPC Operations. Extended Abstracts, 31st Conference on Severe Local Storms, 21–25 October 2024, Virginia Beach, Virginia, USA, P4E.170. doi:10.25923/fkzg-kt33
5. Jirak, I. L., J. Vancil, J. Picca, R. S. Schneider, and P. T. Marsh, 2024: Conditional Intensity Estimation of Severe Hail and Wind Using Environmental Parameters. Extended Abstracts, 31st Conference on Severe Local Storms, 21–25 October 2024, Virginia Beach, Virginia, USA, 17A.2, 5 pp. Paper
6. Harrison, D. R., M. S. Elliott, I. L. Jirak, and P. T. Marsh, 2023: Predicting Probabilistic Lightning Flash Density from the HREF Calibrated Thunder Guidance. Extended Abstracts, 22nd Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science, 103rd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 8–12 January 2023, Denver, Colorado, USA, 6A.1. doi:10.25923/b2b3-m644
7. Edwards, R., M. S. Elliott, P. T. Marsh, and D. Speheger, 2022: Errors, Oddities and Artifacts in U.S. Tornado Data, 1995–2021. Extended Abstracts, 30th Conference on Severe Local Storms, 24–28 October 2022, Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA, 8.3B. Conference page
8. Harrison, D. R., A. McGovern, C. Karstens, I. L. Jirak, and P. T. Marsh, 2022: Evaluation of First-Guess Watch Guidance in the 2022 HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment. Extended Abstracts, 30th Conference on Severe Local Storms, 24–28 October 2022, Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA, 7.3A. doi:10.25923/fssj-fe85
9. Jirak, I. L., M. S. Elliott, C. D. Karstens, R. S. Schneider, P. T. Marsh, and W. F. Bunting, 2020: Generating Probabilistic Severe Timing Information from SPC Outlooks Using the HREF. Preprints, Severe Local Storms Symposium, 100th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 12–16 January 2020, Boston, Massachusetts, USA, 3.1, 4 pp. Paper
10. Nauslar, N. J., I. L. Jirak, P. T. Marsh, and S. J. Weiss, 2017: Improving Lightning Density Guidance with Calibrated Probabilities from Ensemble Model Output. Extended Abstracts, Eighth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data, 97th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 22–26 January 2017, Seattle, Washington, USA, 857. Conference page
11. Wawrzyniak, T., C. J. Melick, P. T. Marsh, and J. Picca, 2017: Evaluation of Precipitation Type from Observational Datasets to Improve Monitoring of Hazardous Winter Weather at the Storm Prediction Center. Extended Abstracts, 33rd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies, 97th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 22–26 January 2017, Seattle, Washington, USA, J9.4. Conference page
12. Halbert, K. T., W. G. Blumberg, and P. T. Marsh, 2015: SHARPpy: Fueling the Python Cult. Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, 95th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 5 January 2015, Phoenix, Arizona, USA. Conference page
13. Melick, C. J., P. T. Marsh, A. Dean, I. L. Jirak, and S. J. Weiss, 2015: Lightning Characteristics and Relationship to Preliminary Local Storm Reports. Extended Abstracts, 40th National Weather Association Annual Meeting, 17–22 October 2015, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA, 10 pp. Paper
14. Smith, B. T., R. L. Thompson, A. R. Dean, E. M. Leitman, J. S. Grams, A. E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J. C. Picca, P. T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental Work at the Storm Prediction Center in Pursuit of Tornadic Supercell Probability and Tornado Intensity Estimation Using a Severe Supercell Dataset. Extended Abstracts, 40th National Weather Association Annual Meeting, 17–22 October 2015, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA, 8 pp. Paper
15. Miller, S. D., Jr., J. S. Kain, P. T. Marsh, A. J. Clark, M. Coniglio, and J. Correia Jr., 2014: In search of CI: Lessons learned from applying proxies to CI in convection-allowing models. Extended Abstracts, 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 94th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 2–6 February 2014, Atlanta, Georgia, USA, J11.4. Conference page
16. Rogers, J. W., R. L. Thompson, and P. T. Marsh, 2014: Potential Applications of a CONUS Sounding Climatology Developed at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 27th Conference on Severe Local Storms, 3–7 November 2014, Madison, Wisconsin, USA, P10.145, 9 pp. Paper
17. Smith, B. T., R. L. Thompson, A. R. Dean, P. T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, G. Mann, M. J. Hudson, and J. T. Ferree, 2014: Demonstrating the Utility of Conditional Probabilities of Tornado Damage Rating in the Impact-Based Warning Era. Preprints, 27th Conference on Severe Local Storms, 3–7 November 2014, Madison, Wisconsin, USA, 89, 22 pp. Paper
18. Kain, J. S., I. L. Jirak, A. J. Clark, M. C. Coniglio, S. J. Weiss, J. Correia Jr., A. R. Dean, P. T. Marsh, C. J. Melick, S. D. Miller Jr., R. Sobash, M. Xue, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, V. Lakshmanan, D. D. Turner, D. A. Imy, and S. R. Dembek, 2012: An Overview of the 2012 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Extended Abstracts, 26th Conference on Severe Local Storms, 5–8 November 2012, Nashville, Tennessee, USA, 10.1. Conference page
19. Miller, S. D., Jr., J. S. Kain, P. T. Marsh, A. J. Clark, M. C. Coniglio, V. Lakshmanan, J. Correia Jr., D. A. Imy, S. R. Dembek, I. L. Jirak, S. J. Weiss, A. R. Dean, C. J. Melick, R. Sobash, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K. W. Thomas, 2012: Probabilistic forecasts of location and timing of convection during the 2012 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Extended Abstracts, 26th Conference on Severe Local Storms, 5–8 November 2012, Nashville, Tennessee, USA, 10.3. Conference page
20. Thompson, R. L., B. T. Smith, A. R. Dean, and P. T. Marsh, 2012: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Extended Abstracts, 26th Conference on Severe Local Storms, 5–8 November 2012, Nashville, Tennessee, USA, 9.5. Conference page
21. Harrold, M., T. L. Jensen, B. G. Brown, S. J. Weiss, P. T. Marsh, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. J. Clark, K. W. Thomas, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, and R. S. Schneider, 2011: Spatial verification of convective systems during the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment. Preprints, 91st American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 23–27 January 2011, Seattle, Washington, USA. PDF
22. Jensen, T. L., M. Harrold, S. J. Weiss, M. Xue, P. T. Marsh, F. E. Barthold, J. J. Levit, F. Kong, A. J. Clark, B. G. Brown, D. R. Novak, J. S. Kain, R. S. Schneider, and M. C. Coniglio, 2011: The Developmental Testbed Center objective evaluation performed during the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment. Preprints, 91st American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 23–27 January 2011, Seattle, Washington, USA. PDF
23. Jensen, T. L., M. Harrold, B. G. Brown, S. J. Weiss, P. T. Marsh, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. J. Clark, K. W. Thomas, J. S. Kain, R. S. Schneider, D. R. Novak, F. E. Barthold, J. J. Levit, and M. C. Coniglio, 2010: An Overview of the Objective Evaluation Performed During the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) 2010 Spring Experiment. Preprints, 25th American Meteorological Society Severe Local Storms Conference, 11–14 October 2010, Denver, CO, USA, 13B.1. Conference page
24. Jirak, I. L., S. J. Weiss, C. J. Melick, P. T. Marsh, J. S. Kain, A. J. Clark, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K. W. Thomas, 2010: Evaluation of the performance and distribution of hourly maximum fields from storm-scale ensemble forecasts. Preprints, 25th American Meteorological Society Severe Local Storms Conference, 11–14 October 2010, Denver, CO, USA. PDF
25. Marsh, P. T., J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, I. L. Jirak, R. A. Sobash, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, and M. Xue, 2010: Investigating a fundamental component of a Warn-on-Forecast system in a collaborative real-time experiment. Preprints, 25th American Meteorological Society Severe Local Storms Conference, 11–14 October 2010, Denver, CO, USA. PDF
26. Marsh, P. T., J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, R. A. Sobash, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, and M. Xue, 2010: Evaluating the fundamental components of a Warn-on-Forecast system in a collaborative real-time experiment. Extended Abstracts, 11th WRF Users' Workshop, 21–25 June 2010, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA, P.68, 8 pp. PDF
27. Melick, C. J., I. L. Jirak, S. J. Weiss, A. J. Clark, P. T. Marsh, J. S. Kain, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K. W. Thomas, 2010: An environmental climatology of the CAPS storm-scale ensemble forecast system during the 2010 HWT spring experiment. Preprints, 25th American Meteorological Society Severe Local Storms Conference, 11–14 October 2010, Denver, CO, USA. PDF
28. Scharfenberg, K. A., D. L. Andra Jr., P. T. Marsh, K. L. Ortega, and J. Brotzge, 2010: Tornado warning services for misoscale circulations in quasilinear convective systems. Preprints, 25th American Meteorological Society Severe Local Storms Conference, 11–14 October 2010, Denver, CO, USA. PDF
29. Weiss, S. J., A. J. Clark, I. L. Jirak, C. J. Melick, C. Siewert, R. A. Sobash, P. T. Marsh, A. R. Dean, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, M. Xue, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, J. Du, D. R. Novak, F. E. Barthold, M. J. Bodner, J. J. Levit, C. B. Entwistle, R. S. Schneider, and T. L. Jensen, 2010: An overview of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 25th American Meteorological Society Severe Local Storms Conference, 11–14 October 2010, Denver, CO, USA. PDF
30. Brooks, H. E., P. T. Marsh, A. M. Kowaleski, P. Groenemeijer, T. E. Thompson, C. S. Schwartz, C. M. Shafer, A. Kolodziej, N. Dahl, and D. Buckey, 2009: Evaluation of ESTOFEX forecasts. Preprints, 5th European Conference on Severe Storms, 12–16 October 2009, Landshut, Germany, 309–310. PDF
31. Marsh, P. T., H. E. Brooks, and D. J. Karoly, 2007: Assessment of the severe weather environment in North America simulated by a global climate model. Preprints, 87th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, 13–18 January 2007, San Antonio, TX, USA. PDF
32. Marsh, P. T., H. E. Brooks, and D. J. Karoly, 2007: Assessment of severe weather environments simulated by a global climate model. Preprints, 4th European Conference on Severe Storms, 10–14 September 2007, The International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy. PDF

Other publications

1. Crittenden, J. T., H. E. Brooks, G. W. Carbin, S. Crowell, and P. T. Marsh, 2013: An evaluation of the Climate Forecast System version 2 as an extended range forecasting tool in the Storm Prediction Center. REU Final Paper, National Weather Center Research Experiences for Undergraduates Program, 8 pp. Paper
2. Row, M., J. Correia Jr., and P. T. Marsh, 2013: Verification of proxy storm reports derived from ensemble updraft helicity. REU Final Paper, National Weather Center Research Experiences for Undergraduates Program, 9 pp. Paper
3. Hitchcock, S. M., P. T. Marsh, H. E. Brooks, and C. A. Doswell III, 2010: Updraft helicity as a forecast parameter. REU Final Paper, National Weather Center Research Experiences for Undergraduates Program, 9 pp. Paper
4. Marsh, P. T., 2005: History of tornado forecasting. European Meteorological Society's 2005 Weather Calendar.
5. Marsh, P. T., 2003: A journey into the heart of mother nature. KFSM TV-5 Almanac.
6. Marsh, P. T., 2000: The makings of a 21st century weatherman. KFSM TV-5 Almanac.

Theses

1. Marsh, P. T., 2013: A method for calibrating probabilistic forecasts. Doctoral Thesis, University of Oklahoma. hdl:11244/318661
2. Marsh, P. T., 2007: Assessment of the severe weather environment in North America simulated by a global climate model. Master's Thesis, University of Oklahoma. PDF
3. Marsh, P. T., 2005: Modern technology and its application in severe weather information dissemination. Undergraduate Honors Thesis, University of Arkansas.

Talks and posters

This list is generated from my CV, last updated on 13 November 2026.