UPDATES(28 April 2013): Updated to add 16/17 April 2013 outlooks. Also added verification for all days.
In light of all the discussion surrounding today’s Day 3 Moderate Risk issued by the Storm Prediction Center, one question that is on a lot of people’s mind is, “What do Day 3 Moderate Risks Become?” Well, here’s the answer…
- Every Day 3 Moderate Risk has remained a Day 2 Moderate Risk or greater.
- Every Day 3 Moderate Risk remained at Moderate or High Risk level for at least one Day 1 outlook.
- 4 of 11 Day 3 Moderate Risks were Day 1 High Risk at some point during Day 1.
Note: this post is a follow up to the original SPC Day 3 Moderates in Context from 2011.